Does your Claude model really need Claude Code…? 🤔
We evaluate 7 models on Claude Code, Codex, and Pi. Three surprising findings emerge:
1️⃣Harness choice has little effect on task success rate, but can significantly affect the cost
2️⃣A simple harness can be competitive
3️⃣The native harness isn’t always the best.
Millions of people are using coding agents, but the impact of harness choice remains unclear.
(1/n) More details in the thread. 🧵
Melissa Pan
@melissapan
Finding 1: Harness affects cost more than correctness.
Fable 5 can cost twice as much for a 1.1-point gain in success rate. On SWE-bench Lite:
- Claude Code: 97.8% accuracy, $1.33/rollout
- Pi: 96.7% accuracy, $0.67/rollout
While Claude Code reaches the highest success rate on the SWE-bench Lite frontier, Pi and Codex often achieve similar success rates at lower cost across the models we test.
So you may be paying a hidden “harness tax” if you pick your harness based only on the success rate… 💸
(2/n)
Fable 5 can cost twice as much for a 1.1-point gain in success rate. On SWE-bench Lite:
- Claude Code: 97.8% accuracy, $1.33/rollout
- Pi: 96.7% accuracy, $0.67/rollout
While Claude Code reaches the highest success rate on the SWE-bench Lite frontier, Pi and Codex often achieve similar success rates at lower cost across the models we test.
So you may be paying a hidden “harness tax” if you pick your harness based only on the success rate… 💸
(2/n)
5:39 PM UTC · Sep 16, 2026 · 10.5K Views
216718
Melissa Pan
@melissapan
Key finding 2: A simple harness can be competitive.
Pi reaches the Pareto frontier on both open-source benchmarks with 🛠️ just four tools 🛠️: read, write, edit, and bash…
The effectiveness of Pi and Codex demonstrates opportunities for open-source harness research.
And harness choice appears to mainly change the slope of the cost–quality curves, ie. at a given budget which harness can reach the target quality at a lower price faster.
(3/n)
Pi reaches the Pareto frontier on both open-source benchmarks with 🛠️ just four tools 🛠️: read, write, edit, and bash…
The effectiveness of Pi and Codex demonstrates opportunities for open-source harness research.
And harness choice appears to mainly change the slope of the cost–quality curves, ie. at a given budget which harness can reach the target quality at a lower price faster.
(3/n)
5:39 PM UTC · Sep 16, 2026 · 6.3K Views
125313
Melissa Pan
@melissapan
Where is the harness tax coming from? 🧐
Agents can take similar numbers of turns at substantially different costs.
For Fable 5 on SWE-bench Lite, Pi and Claude Code average 15.4 and 15.3 turns per attempt, yet Claude Code costs about twice as much for a 1.1-percentage-point increase in success rate.
So what is happening each turn? One possible reason can even be observed at the first model call: Claude Code’s mean initial context is over 10× Pi’s, with longer instructions and larger tool schemas ‼️
As models become more capable, agents may need less scaffolding. For everyday tasks, harness design should therefore prioritize cost efficiency and reliability.
(4/n)
Agents can take similar numbers of turns at substantially different costs.
For Fable 5 on SWE-bench Lite, Pi and Claude Code average 15.4 and 15.3 turns per attempt, yet Claude Code costs about twice as much for a 1.1-percentage-point increase in success rate.
So what is happening each turn? One possible reason can even be observed at the first model call: Claude Code’s mean initial context is over 10× Pi’s, with longer instructions and larger tool schemas ‼️
As models become more capable, agents may need less scaffolding. For everyday tasks, harness design should therefore prioritize cost efficiency and reliability.
(4/n)

5:39 PM UTC · Sep 16, 2026 · 5.2K Views
42458
Melissa Pan
@melissapan
Key finding 3: Models may perform better with other harnesses than with their own.
And yes... you read that correctly: GPT-5.6 Sol can achieve a higher success rate in Pi than in Codex, and Opus 4.8 can achieve a higher success rate in Codex than in Claude Code 👀
A question many researchers ask: can open-source harness research win if models are co-trained with their native harnesses? Our study shows that today’s models can generalize well and be compatible across different harnesses. 🙌
(5/n)
And yes... you read that correctly: GPT-5.6 Sol can achieve a higher success rate in Pi than in Codex, and Opus 4.8 can achieve a higher success rate in Codex than in Claude Code 👀
A question many researchers ask: can open-source harness research win if models are co-trained with their native harnesses? Our study shows that today’s models can generalize well and be compatible across different harnesses. 🙌
(5/n)
5:39 PM UTC · Sep 16, 2026 · 4.4K Views
21476
Melissa Pan
@melissapan
More details in the blog post.
📄 harnesstax.github.io
We as the community should evaluate and select the model AND the harness together.
(6/n)
📄 harnesstax.github.io
We as the community should evaluate and select the model AND the harness together.
(6/n)
5:39 PM UTC · Sep 16, 2026 · 7.9K Views
235928
Melissa Pan
@melissapan
More broadly, the need for different harnesses depends on the role of coding agents.
💻 For day-to-day tasks, coding agents serve as an interface to model intelligence: they manage context, access tools, and execute tasks. As models become more capable, some of today’s scaffolding may become unnecessary.
General-purpose coding agents should therefore prioritize cost efficiency and reliability, as many tasks may not require fancy add-on features that add a harness tax.
🧪 For harder problems at the boundary of a model’s capabilities, including scientific discovery, agents may still benefit from more structured harnesses.
Harness research can therefore help models push the boundaries of knowledge, unlocking the next phase of intelligence in the process.
(7/n)
💻 For day-to-day tasks, coding agents serve as an interface to model intelligence: they manage context, access tools, and execute tasks. As models become more capable, some of today’s scaffolding may become unnecessary.
General-purpose coding agents should therefore prioritize cost efficiency and reliability, as many tasks may not require fancy add-on features that add a harness tax.
🧪 For harder problems at the boundary of a model’s capabilities, including scientific discovery, agents may still benefit from more structured harnesses.
Harness research can therefore help models push the boundaries of knowledge, unlocking the next phase of intelligence in the process.
(7/n)
5:39 PM UTC · Sep 16, 2026 · 3.4K Views
21274
Melissa Pan
@melissapan
The insight comes from two open-source benchmarks we evaluated on, results may differ on other workloads.
Stay tuned for our future work on extending such evaluation to more setup! 🙌
(8/n)
Stay tuned for our future work on extending such evaluation to more setup! 🙌
(8/n)
5:39 PM UTC · Sep 16, 2026 · 3K Views
11243
Melissa Pan
@melissapan
This was an amazing & fun collaboration with @Andy_ShuoYang, @NegarEmpr , @infwinston, @istoica05, @matei_zaharia
We thank @arena, @LaudeInstitute, @AmazonScience for sponsoring this research.
We also thank @tianyin_xu and @mertcemri for providing valuable feedback.
@BerkeleySky @berkeley_ai 🙌
(9/n)
We thank @arena, @LaudeInstitute, @AmazonScience for sponsoring this research.
We also thank @tianyin_xu and @mertcemri for providing valuable feedback.
@BerkeleySky @berkeley_ai 🙌
(9/n)
5:39 PM UTC · Sep 16, 2026 · 3K Views
22244
Melissa Pan
@melissapan

arena.ai
HarnessTax: How Much Does the Harness Matter for Coding Agents? - Arena.ai
6:37 PM UTC · Sep 16, 2026 · 2.6K Views
433532
